Sunday, August 27, 2006

Preseason Draft Strategy

Draft Day Strategy by Bob Graziano
So Christmas has come early and today you get to pick the studs that will bring you all the kudos. What are the theories that will put you in the winners circle? Try these on for size.

#1 Beware Studs on Duds.

This is the Curtis Martin Rule. Curtis was the league leading rusher going into last season. The Jets Stunk! Mr. Martin put up some 900 fewer yards. Curtis was the biggest bust not named Culpepper in all Fantasy Land. This year I think Randy Moss has a lot of the same issues. He is a great talent. His team is the Pits! His QB is the Pits! Aaron Brooks is a cast off from the Saints, of all teams. The Raiders will lose more then win this year so TD’s will be at a premium. He will probably go too soon based on talent and not on a clear idea of potential output.

#2 Touchdowns Win Football Games, Dude!!!!!!

The Ruben Droughns Rule. 1200 Yards and as much job security you can find. A Stud RB by any measure. What is the issue? Paydirt. Only 2 TD’s last year. Why? The Browns scored fewer points then any other team in football. If Rube is a Giant or a Pat then he goes in the first round. Look to snatch him in the third, but don’t cry if you miss him. Brandon Jacobs with the goalline job in NY could see the ball a quarter of the time Droughns does and quadruple his TD total.

#3 Be Sure to Insure

The Fred Taylor Rule. Football is a game of attrition. Players will miss time. You will not avoid the injury bug. The best way to make the medicine go down is to plan for adversity. Nothing sucks worse then watching your dude tell the press he needs a few weeks and then losing out on his replacement over waivers or auction free agency. Don’t over do it, but if you have a guy like Portis with front and center injury issues or anyone nicknamed “Fragile”, spend those late round picks on back-ups.

#4 Easy on The Vino Big Boy!!

My draft resembles a bacchanal more then a Physics class. I am sure that many of you guys in Fantasy Land will enjoy your drafts in similar fashion. Don’t get too whacked. The rest of you season could ride on pick 10 or 11 or 12. If you are in the lavatory kissing the porcelain mistress than mistakes will have already been made. Dial it back a notch. A good draft means 4 months of celebration.

That’s it. Follow the rules, but be sure to break them as well. In baseball it is called being effectively wild. Draft, Drink, Dominate.

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